You are the only bank teller on duty and you want to take a break for 10 minutes but you don't want to miss any customers. suppose the arrival of customers can be models by a poisson distribution with mean of 2 customers per hour. what's the probability that 2 or more people arrive in the next 10 minutes?

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Answer:

4.47% probability that 2 or more people arrive in the next 10 minutes

Step-by-step explanation:

In a Poisson distribution, the probability that X represents the number of successes of a random variable is given by the following formula:

[tex]P(X = x) = \frac{e^{-\mu}*\mu^{x}}{(x)!}[/tex]

In which

x is the number of sucesses

e = 2.71828 is the Euler number

[tex]\mu[/tex] is the mean in the given time interval.

Mean of 2 customers per hour.

What's the probability that 2 or more people arrive in the next 10 minutes?

10 minutes, so [tex]\mu = \frac{2*10}{60} = 0.3333[/tex]

Either less than two people arrive, or more than two do. The sum of the probabilities of these events is decimal 1. So

[tex]P(X < 2) + P(X \geq 2) = 1[/tex]

We want [tex]P(X \geq 2)[/tex]. So

[tex]P(X \geq 2) = 1 - P(X < 2)[/tex]

In which

[tex]P(X < 2) = P(X = 0) + P(X = 1)[/tex]

[tex]P(X = x) = \frac{e^{-\mu}*\mu^{x}}{(x)!}[/tex]

[tex]P(X = 0) = \frac{e^{-0.3333}*(0.3333)^{0}}{(0)!} = 0.7165[/tex]

[tex]P(X = 1) = \frac{e^{-0.3333}*(0.3333)^{1}}{(1)!} = 0.2388[/tex]

[tex]P(X < 2) = P(X = 0) + P(X = 1) = 0.7165 + 0.2388 = 0.9553[/tex]

[tex]P(X \geq 2) = 1 - P(X < 2) = 1 - 0.9553 = 0.0447[/tex]

4.47% probability that 2 or more people arrive in the next 10 minutes

The probability that 2 or more people arrive in the next 10 minutes is;

P(X ≥ 2) =  0.0447

This is a poisson distribution problem with the formula;

P(X = x) = [e^(-μ) × μˣ]/x!

Where;

x is number of successes

μ is the mean in the time interval given

Since we have a mean of 2 customers per hour and want to find the probability that 2 or more people arrive in the next 10 minutes. Thus;

μ = (2 × 10)/60

μ = 0.333

Thus,  probability that 2 or more people arrive in the next 10 minutes is;

P(X ≥ 2) = 1 - (P(X = 0) + P(X = 1))

P(X = 0) =  [e^(-0.333) × 0.333⁰]/0!

P(X = 0) = 0.7165

P(X = 2) =  [e^(-0.333) × 0.333²]/2!

P(X = 2) = 0.2388

Thus;

P(X ≥ 2) = 1 - (0.7165 + 0.2388)

P(X ≥ 2) =  0.0447

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