We are interested in estimating the proportion of graduates at a mid-sized university who found a jobwithin one year of completing their undergraduate degree. suppose we conduct a survey and nd outthat 348 of the 400 randomly sampled graduates found jobs. the graduating class under considerationincluded over 4500 students. chapter7:analysis of categorical data -part 117-8(a)describe the population parameter of interest. what is the value of the point estimate of thisparameter?(b)check if the conditions for constructing a con dence interval based on these data are met.(c)calculate a 95% con dence interval for the proportion of graduates who found a job within oneyear of completing their undergraduate degree at this university, and interpret it in the contextof the data.(d)what does ?95% con dence? mean?(e)now calculate a 99% con dence interval for the same parameter and interpret it in the context ofthe data.(f)compare the widths of the 95% and 99% con dence intervals. which one is wider? explai

Respuesta :

Part A:

From the question, the population parameter of interest is the proportion of graduates at a mid-sized university who found a job within one year of completing their undergraduate degree.

The value of the point estimate of this parameter is given by [tex]\hat{p}= \frac{348}{400} =0.87[/tex]


Part B:

The conditions that must be met before constructing a confidence interval include:

The sample size is large.

[tex]npq=400(0.87)(1-0.87)=348(0.13)=45.24\ \textgreater \ 10[/tex]

Since, npq > 10, the conditions for constructing confidence interval are met.



Part C:

The 95% confidence interval for the proportion of graduates who found a job within one year of completing their undergraduate degree at this university is given by:

[tex]95\% \ C.I.=\hat{p}\pm1.95\sqrt{\frac{\hat{p}(1-\hat{p})}{n}} \\ \\ =0.87\pm
1.95\sqrt{\frac{0.87(1-0.87)}{400}}=0.87\pm1.95\sqrt{\frac{0.87(0.13)}{400}} \\ \\ =0.87\pm1.95\sqrt{\frac{0.1131}{400}}=0.87\pm1.95\sqrt{0.00028275}=0.87\pm1.95(0.0168)=0.87\pm0.03 \\ \\ (0.84,\ 0.90)[/tex]



Part D:

We are 95% confident that the
proportion of graduates at a mid-sized university who found a job within one year of completing their undergraduate degree is between 0.84 and 0.90



Part E:

The 99% confidence interval for the proportion of graduates who found a job within one year of completing their undergraduate degree at this university is given by:

[tex]99\% \ C.I.=\hat{p}\pm2.575\sqrt{\frac{\hat{p}(1-\hat{p})}{n}} \\ \\ =0.87\pm2.575\sqrt{\frac{0.87(1-0.87)}{400}}=0.87\pm2.575\sqrt{\frac{0.87(0.13)}{400}} \\ \\ =0.87\pm2.575\sqrt{\frac{0.1131}{400}}=0.87\pm2.575\sqrt{0.00028275}=0.87\pm2.575(0.0168)=0.87\pm0.04 \\ \\ (0.83,\ 0.91)[/tex]




Part F:

The width of the 95% confidence interval is 0.06 while the width of the 99% confidence inteval is 0.08.

The 99% confidence interval is wider.

The wider the width of a confidence interval, the more confident we are that the required proportion is in the interval.