Contrast immediate actions taken under the fog-of-war confusion (in March-April 2020) to those undertaken more leisurely, throughout 2021 and 2022. COVID-19 active measures shifted rapidly. To what extent is human error to blame - as opposed to complexity? How does one make the difference? Time was of the essence, and in early 2020, policy makers could not wait for the completion of scientific studies. On what basis did they act? What were their incentives?
a. Human error
b. Complexity
c. Both
d. Neither