Respuesta :
The lower limit of the confidence interval is 51%, which is above 55%, so the Republican should expect to win.
What does confidence interval mean?
Your estimate's mean plus and minus the range of that estimate's fluctuation is called a confidence interval.
If you repeat your test, you can expect your estimate to fall between these numbers with a reasonable degree of certainty. In statistics, confidence is another word for probability.
A confidence interval of proportions has two bounds, a lower bound and an upper bound.
These bounds depend on the sample proportion and the margin of error.
The lower bound is the sample proportion subtracted by the margin of error.
The upper bound is the margin of error added to the sample proportion.
In this problem, we have that:
Sample proportion 53%
Margin of error 2%
53 - 2 = 51%
53 + 2 = 55%
Hence, the lower limit of the confidence interval is 51%, which is above 55%, so the Republican should expect to win.
Learn more about confidence interval
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