Respuesta :
a) The sampling proportion's mean value is 0.25. 0.016 is the standard deviation. The form resembles a bell.
b) There is a 10% possibility of getting this number, p=0.27 or more, given a sample proportion, so I wouldn't be surprised.
c) Since there is no chance that the sample fraction of 0.31 will occur, I would be shocked if it did.
Given,
a) The null hypothesis proportion would be the middle of the sampling distribution (p-0.25). So, p=0.25 is the sampling proportion's mean value.
This would be the standard deviation:
σp = √(p (1 - p) / n) = √(0.25 × 0.75/731) = 0.016
The distribution would resemble a binomial distribution, hence the form would be bell-shaped.
b) By calculating the z-value and checking for its probability in the standard normal distribution, we may determine the likelihood of a value p=0.27 in this distribution.
z = (p - π) / σp = (0.27 - 0.25) / 0.016 = 0.02/0.016 = 1.25
p(z > 1.25) = 0.106
There is a 10% probability of achieving this value, p=0.27 or more, for a sample proportion, so I wouldn't be surprised.
c) We repeat the calculation for p=0.31
z = (p - π) / σp = (0.31 - 0.25) / 0.016 = 0.06/0.016 = 5
p(z > 5) = 0.000
I would be astonished to see that value because the probability of this sample fraction occurring at p=0.31 is zero.
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