julia sells exotic birds. she has placed four orders with wholesale bird supplier papagayo co., and all of them have been filled with healthy birds. lately, however, some wholesale competitors have been trying to get her to order from them. but, when it's time to make the next order, she decides she's better off with papagayo because she's pretty sure she'll get healthy birds. (do not assume that you know anything about birds or the bird business.) the premise-analogue in the passage is