Suppose a large shipment of televisions contained 19% defectives. If a sample of size 479 is selected, what is the probability that the sample proportion will be greater than 17%

Respuesta :

The value is P(p'-p > 0.17) = 0.09

From the question we are told that

The population proportion is p=0.19

The sample size is n = 479

Generally given that the sample size is large enough , i.e  n > 30 then the mean of this sampling distribution is mathematically represent

[tex]u_{x} =p=0.19[/tex]

Generally the standard deviation is mathematically represented as

σ[tex]=\sqrt{ \frac{p(1-p)}{n}[/tex]

σ= [tex]\sqrt{ \frac{0.19(1-0.19)}{479}[/tex]

σ=0.017

Generally the the probability that the sample proportion will differ from the population proportion by greater than 17% is mathematically represented as

[tex]P(p'-p > 0.17) =P (z > \frac{0.17}{0.017} )[/tex]

[tex]P(p'-p > 0.17) =P (z > 10 )[/tex]

[tex]P(p'-p > 0.17) =P (z > 10 ) - P (z > -10 )[/tex]

From the z table  the area under the normal curve to the left corresponding to 10  and - 10 is

[tex]P(p'-p > 0.17) = 0.97042 - 0.87450\\P(p'-p > 0.17) = 0.09[/tex]

So, the value of probability is greater than 17% is P(p'-p > 0.17) = 0.09

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The probability that the sample proportion will be greater than 17% is 0.8677 or 86.77%.

The true proportion of the sample or the mean of the sample = 19%, that is, μ = 19% or 0.19.

The sample size (n) = 479.

The sample proportion is to be calculated at the point 17% or 0.17.

The standard error (s) = √{μ(1 - μ)/n} = √{0.19(1 - 0.19)/479} = 0.0179.

We are asked to calculate the probability that the sample proportion is greater that 17% or 0.17.

This is written as P(X > 0.17) = P(Z > {(0.17-0.19)/0.0179}) = P(Z > -1.1173) = 1 - P(Z ≤ -1.1173) = 1 - 0.1304 = 0.8696 or 86.96%.

To calculate this using the calculator, we use the calculator function:

Normalcdf(0.17,10000000,0.19,0.0179) = 0.8677 or 86.77%.

Thus, the probability that the sample proportion will be greater than 17% is 0.8677 or 86.77%.

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