Respuesta :
Answer:
a) 272 used at least one prescription medication.
b) The 90% confidence interval estimate of the percentage of adults aged 57 through 85 years who use at least one prescription medication is (85.6%, 87.6%).
Step-by-step explanation:
Question a:
86.6% out of 3149, so:
0.866*3149 = 2727.
272 used at least one prescription medication.
Question b:
In a sample with a number n of people surveyed with a probability of a success of [tex]\pi[/tex], and a confidence level of [tex]1-\alpha[/tex], we have the following confidence interval of proportions.
[tex]\pi \pm z\sqrt{\frac{\pi(1-\pi)}{n}}[/tex]
In which
z is the z-score that has a p-value of [tex]1 - \frac{\alpha}{2}[/tex].
For this problem, we have that:
[tex]n = 3149, \pi = 0.866[/tex]
90% confidence level
So [tex]\alpha = 0.1[/tex], z is the value of Z that has a p-value of [tex]1 - \frac{0.1}{2} = 0.95[/tex], so [tex]Z = 1.645[/tex].
The lower limit of this interval is:
[tex]\pi - z\sqrt{\frac{\pi(1-\pi)}{n}} = 0.866 - 1.645\sqrt{\frac{0.866*0.134}{3149}} = 0.856[/tex]
The upper limit of this interval is:
[tex]\pi + z\sqrt{\frac{\pi(1-\pi)}{n}} = 0.866 + 1.645\sqrt{\frac{0.866*0.134}{3149}} = 0.876[/tex]
For the percentage:
0.856*100% = 85.6%
0.876*100% = 87.6%.
The 90% confidence interval estimate of the percentage of adults aged 57 through 85 years who use at least one prescription medication is (85.6%, 87.6%).
The number of subjects in the study who used at least one prescription medication is 2727 approx. The needed 90% confidence interval is: [0.8560, 0.8758] or in percentage as: 85.6% to 87.58%
How to construct confidence interval for population proportion based on the sample proportion?
Suppose that we have:
- n = sample size
- [tex]\hat{p}[/tex] = sample proportion
- [tex]\alpha[/tex] = level of significance = 1 - confidence interval = 100 - confidence interval in percentage
Then, we get:
[tex]CI = \hat{p} \pm Z_{\alpha/2}\sqrt{\dfrac{\hat{p}(1-\hat{p})}{n}}[/tex]
where [tex]Z_{\alpha/2}[/tex] is the critical value of Z at specified level of significance and is obtainable from its critical value table(available online or in some books)
For this case, we have:
- n = 3149
- confidence interval is of 90%
- [tex]\alpha[/tex] = level of significance = 100 - 90% = 10% = 0..10
- [tex]\hat{p}[/tex] = sample proportion = ratio of 86.6% of n to n (at the least)
Part (a):
The number of subjects used at least one prescription medication is:
[tex]\dfrac{3149}{100} \times 86.6 \approx 2727[/tex]
Thus, the sample proportion we get is:
[tex]\hat{p} = \dfrac{2727}{3149} \approx 0.8659[/tex]
For level of significance 0.10, we get: [tex]Z_{\alpha/2} = 1.645[/tex]
Thus, the confidence interval needed is:
[tex]CI = \hat{p} \pm Z_{\alpha/2}\sqrt{\dfrac{\hat{p}(1-\hat{p})}{n}}\\CI \approx 0.8659\pm 1.645 \times \sqrt{\dfrac{0.8659(1-0.8659)}{3149}}\\\\\\CI \approx 0.8659 \pm 0.0099[/tex]
Thus, CI is [0.8659 - 0.0099, 0.8659 + 0.0099] = [0.8560, 0.8758]
Thus, the number of subjects in the study who used at least one prescription medication is 2727 approx. The needed 90% confidence interval is: [0.8560, 0.8758] or in percentage as: 85.6% to 87.58%
Learn more about population proportion here:
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