In a survey of adults aged 57 through 85​ years, it was found that 86.6​% of them used at least one prescription medication. Complete parts​ (a) through​ (c) below.

a. How many of the 3149 subjects used at least one prescription​ medication?

​(Round to the nearest integer as​ needed.)

b. Construct a​ 90% confidence interval estimate of the percentage of adults aged 57 through 85 years who use at least one prescription medication.


​(Round to one decimal place as​ needed.)

Respuesta :

Answer:

a) 272 used at least one prescription​ medication.

b) The 90% confidence interval estimate of the percentage of adults aged 57 through 85 years who use at least one prescription medication is (85.6%, 87.6%).

Step-by-step explanation:

Question a:

86.6% out of 3149, so:

0.866*3149 = 2727.

272 used at least one prescription​ medication.

Question b:

In a sample with a number n of people surveyed with a probability of a success of [tex]\pi[/tex], and a confidence level of [tex]1-\alpha[/tex], we have the following confidence interval of proportions.

[tex]\pi \pm z\sqrt{\frac{\pi(1-\pi)}{n}}[/tex]

In which

z is the z-score that has a p-value of [tex]1 - \frac{\alpha}{2}[/tex].

For this problem, we have that:

[tex]n = 3149, \pi = 0.866[/tex]

90% confidence level

So [tex]\alpha = 0.1[/tex], z is the value of Z that has a p-value of [tex]1 - \frac{0.1}{2} = 0.95[/tex], so [tex]Z = 1.645[/tex].  

The lower limit of this interval is:

[tex]\pi - z\sqrt{\frac{\pi(1-\pi)}{n}} = 0.866 - 1.645\sqrt{\frac{0.866*0.134}{3149}} = 0.856[/tex]

The upper limit of this interval is:

[tex]\pi + z\sqrt{\frac{\pi(1-\pi)}{n}} = 0.866 + 1.645\sqrt{\frac{0.866*0.134}{3149}} = 0.876[/tex]

For the percentage:

0.856*100% = 85.6%

0.876*100% = 87.6%.

The 90% confidence interval estimate of the percentage of adults aged 57 through 85 years who use at least one prescription medication is (85.6%, 87.6%).

The number of subjects in the study who used at least one prescription medication is 2727 approx. The needed 90% confidence interval is:  [0.8560, 0.8758] or in percentage as: 85.6% to 87.58%

How to construct confidence interval for population proportion based on the sample proportion?

Suppose that we have:

  • n = sample size
  • [tex]\hat{p}[/tex] = sample proportion
  • [tex]\alpha[/tex] = level of significance = 1 - confidence interval  = 100 - confidence interval in percentage

Then, we get:

[tex]CI = \hat{p} \pm Z_{\alpha/2}\sqrt{\dfrac{\hat{p}(1-\hat{p})}{n}}[/tex]

where [tex]Z_{\alpha/2}[/tex] is the critical value of Z at specified level of significance and is obtainable from its critical value table(available online or in some books)

For this case, we have:

  • n = 3149
  • confidence interval is of 90%
  • [tex]\alpha[/tex] = level of significance  = 100 - 90% = 10% = 0..10
  • [tex]\hat{p}[/tex] = sample proportion = ratio of 86.6% of n to n (at the least)

Part (a):

The number of subjects used at least one prescription​ medication is:

[tex]\dfrac{3149}{100} \times 86.6 \approx 2727[/tex]

Thus, the sample proportion we get is:

[tex]\hat{p} = \dfrac{2727}{3149} \approx 0.8659[/tex]

For level of significance 0.10, we get: [tex]Z_{\alpha/2} = 1.645[/tex]

Thus, the confidence interval needed is:

[tex]CI = \hat{p} \pm Z_{\alpha/2}\sqrt{\dfrac{\hat{p}(1-\hat{p})}{n}}\\CI \approx 0.8659\pm 1.645 \times \sqrt{\dfrac{0.8659(1-0.8659)}{3149}}\\\\\\CI \approx 0.8659 \pm 0.0099[/tex]

Thus, CI is [0.8659 - 0.0099, 0.8659 + 0.0099] = [0.8560, 0.8758]

Thus, the number of subjects in the study who used at least one prescription medication is 2727 approx. The needed 90% confidence interval is:  [0.8560, 0.8758] or in percentage as: 85.6% to 87.58%

Learn more about population proportion here:

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