A poll found that 52% of U.S. adult Twitter users get at least some news on Twitter. The standard error for this estimate was 2.4%, and a normal distribution may be used to model the sample proportion. Construct a 99% confidence interval for the fraction of U.S. adult Twitter users who get some news on Twitter, and interpret the confidence interval in context. (Round your answers to two decimal places.)

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Answer:

The 99% confidence interval for the fraction of U.S. adult Twitter users who get some news on Twitter is (0.46, 0.58). This means that we are 99% sure that the true proportion of all U.S. adult Twitter users who get some news on Twitter is between these two values.

Step-by-step explanation:

In a sample with a number n of people surveyed with a probability of a success of [tex]\pi[/tex], and a confidence level of [tex]1-\alpha[/tex], we have the following confidence interval of proportions.

[tex]\pi \pm z\sqrt{\frac{\pi(1-\pi)}{n}}[/tex]

In which

z is the z-score that has a p-value of [tex]1 - \frac{\alpha}{2}[/tex].

A poll found that 52% of U.S. adult Twitter users get at least some news on Twitter. The standard error for this estimate was 2.4%

This means that:

[tex]\pi = 0.52, \sqrt{\frac{\pi(1-\pi)}{n}} = 0.024[/tex]

99% confidence level

So [tex]\alpha = 0.01[/tex], z is the value of Z that has a p-value of [tex]1 - \frac{0.01}{2} = 0.995[/tex], so [tex]Z = 2.575[/tex].

The lower limit of this interval is:

[tex]\pi - z\sqrt{\frac{\pi(1-\pi)}{n}} = 0.52 - 2.575(0.024) = 0.46[/tex]

The upper limit of this interval is:

[tex]\pi + z\sqrt{\frac{\pi(1-\pi)}{n}} = 0.52 + 2.575(0.024) = 0.58[/tex]

The 99% confidence interval for the fraction of U.S. adult Twitter users who get some news on Twitter is (0.46, 0.58). This means that we are 99% sure that the true proportion of all U.S. adult Twitter users who get some news on Twitter is between these two values.