A research firm needs to estimate within 3% the proportion of junior executives leaving large manufacturing companies within three years. A 0.95 degree of confidence is to be used. Several years ago, a study revealed that 35% of junior executives left their company within three years. To update this study, how many junior executives should be surveyed

Respuesta :

Answer:

972 junior executives should be surveyed.

Step-by-step explanation:

In a sample with a number n of people surveyed with a probability of a success of [tex]\pi[/tex], and a confidence level of [tex]1-\alpha[/tex], we have the following confidence interval of proportions.

[tex]\pi \pm z\sqrt{\frac{\pi(1-\pi)}{n}}[/tex]

In which

z is the zscore that has a pvalue of [tex]1 - \frac{\alpha}{2}[/tex].

The margin of error is of:

[tex]M = z\sqrt{\frac{\pi(1-\pi)}{n}}[/tex]

35% of junior executives left their company within three years.

This means that [tex]\pi = 0.35[/tex]

0.95 = 95% confidence level

So [tex]\alpha = 0.05[/tex], z is the value of Z that has a pvalue of [tex]1 - \frac{0.05}{2} = 0.975[/tex], so [tex]Z = 1.96[/tex].

To update this study, how many junior executives should be surveyed?

Within 3% of the proportion, which means that this is n for which M = 0.03. So

[tex]M = z\sqrt{\frac{\pi(1-\pi)}{n}}[/tex]

[tex]0.03 = 1.96\sqrt{\frac{0.35*0.65}{n}}[/tex]

[tex]0.03\sqrt{n} = 1.96\sqrt{0.35*0.65}[/tex]

[tex]\sqrt{n} = \frac{1.96\sqrt{0.35*0.65}}{0.03}[/tex]

[tex](\sqrt{n})^2 = (\frac{1.96\sqrt{0.35*0.65}}{0.03})^2[/tex]

[tex]n = 971.2[/tex]

Rounding up:

972 junior executives should be surveyed.