A helicopter and a plane can make a safe landing if at least half of its engines are working properly. Suppose that engine failures are independent events. Determine whether a two engine helicopter or a four engine plane is safer if the chance that an engine fails is 1 in 100?

Respuesta :

Answer:

I'm going to make an uneducated guess here.

I think the probability of two engines failing would be the same for either aircraft. In the instance that does happen, the helicopter doesn't fly at all and the airplane does.

I say the airplane is safer.

Step-by-step explanation:

So, the plane is safer than the helicopter.

Binomial distribution:

The formula for finding the probability by Binomial distribution is,

[tex]P(X = x) = n_C_x \times p^x \times (1 - p)^{(n - x)}[/tex]

For Helicopter,

We need to calculate, Probability of safe landing, [tex]P(X = 0)[/tex]

Here, [tex]n = 2, p = 0.99, (1 - p) = 0.01\ and\ x = 1[/tex]

As per binomial distribution formula [tex]P(X = x) = n_C_x \times p^x \times (1 - p)^{(n - x)}[/tex]

We need to calculate [tex]P(X \ge 1).[/tex]

[tex]P(X \ge1) = (2_C_1 \times 0.99^1 \times 0.01^1) + (2_C_2 \times 0.99^2 \times 0.01^0)\\P(X \ge1) = 0.0198 + 0.9801\\P(X \ge 1) = 0.9999[/tex]

For Plane,[tex]P(safe\ landing)[/tex]

Here, [tex]n = 4, p = 0.99, (1 - p) = 0.01\ and\ x = 2[/tex]

As per binomial distribution formula [tex]P(X = x) = n_C_x \times p^x \times (1 - p)^{(n - x)}[/tex]

We need to calculate P(X >= 2).

[tex]P(X \ge 2) = (4_C_2 \times 0.99^2 \times 0.01^2) + (4_C_3 \times 0.99^3 \times 0.01^1) + (4_C_4 \times 0.99^4 \times 0.01^0)\\P(X \ge 2) = 0.0006 + 0.0388 + 0.9606\\P(X \ge2) = 1\\[/tex]

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