The mean weight of an adult is 6767 kilograms with a variance of 121121. If 164164 adults are randomly selected, what is the probability that the sample mean would be greater than 64.864.8 kilograms

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Answer:

99.48% probability that the sample mean would be greater than 64.8 kilograms.

Step-by-step explanation:

To solve this question, we need to understand the normal probability distribution and the central limit theorem.

Normal probability distribution

When the distribution is normal, we use the z-score formula.

In a set with mean [tex]\mu[/tex] and standard deviation(which is the square root of the variance) [tex]\sigma[/tex], the zscore of a measure X is given by:

[tex]Z = \frac{X - \mu}{\sigma}[/tex]

The Z-score measures how many standard deviations the measure is from the mean. After finding the Z-score, we look at the z-score table and find the p-value associated with this z-score. This p-value is the probability that the value of the measure is smaller than X, that is, the percentile of X. Subtracting 1 by the pvalue, we get the probability that the value of the measure is greater than X.

Central Limit Theorem

The Central Limit Theorem estabilishes that, for a normally distributed random variable X, with mean [tex]\mu[/tex] and standard deviation [tex]\sigma[/tex], the sampling distribution of the sample means with size n can be approximated to a normal distribution with mean [tex]\mu[/tex] and standard deviation [tex]s = \frac{\sigma}{\sqrt{n}}[/tex].

For a skewed variable, the Central Limit Theorem can also be applied, as long as n is at least 30.

In this question:

[tex]\mu = 67, \sigma = \sqrt{121} = 11, n = 164, s = \frac{11}{\sqrt{164}} = 0.86[/tex]

What is the probability that the sample mean would be greater than 64.8 kilograms?

This is 1 subtracted by the pvalue of Z when X = 64.8.

[tex]Z = \frac{X - \mu}{\sigma}[/tex]

By the Central Limit Theorem

[tex]Z = \frac{X - \mu}{s}[/tex]

[tex]Z = \frac{64.8 - 67}{0.86}[/tex]

[tex]Z = -2.56[/tex]

[tex]Z = -2.56[/tex] has a pvalue of 0.0052

1 - 0.0052 = 0.9948

99.48% probability that the sample mean would be greater than 64.8 kilograms.