I will flip two coins. If both coins come up tails, I will pay you $6. If one shows heads and one shows tails, you will pay me $2. If both coins come up heads, we will call it a draw. What is your expectation (in dollars) for this game?

Respuesta :

Answer:

The expectation (in dollars) for this game is -$0.50.

Step-by-step explanation:

The sample space of flipping two fair coins together is:

S = {HH, HT, TH, TT}

Here,

H = heads comes up

T = tails comes up

Each event in the sample space is equally likely, i.e.

P (HH) = P( HT) = P (TH) = P (TT) = 0.25

The conditions of the game are:

  • If both coins come up tails, the person flipping the coins looses $6.
  • If one shows heads and one shows tails, the person flipping the coins gains $2.
  • If both coins come up heads, its a draw.

The probability distribution is as follows:

Outcomes     X       P (X)

    HH           $0      0.25

    HT            $2      0.25

    TH            $2      0.25

    TT           -$6      0.25

The expected value of the probability distribution is given by the formula:

[tex]E(X)=\sum x\cdot P (X)[/tex]

Compute the expected value of the game as follows:

[tex]E(X)=\sum x\cdot P (X)[/tex]

         [tex]=(\$0\times 0.25)+(\$2\times 0.25)+(\$2\times 0.25)+(-\$6\times 0.25)\\=\$0+\$0.50+\$0.50-\$1.50\\=-\$0.50[/tex]

Thus, the expectation (in dollars) for this game is -$0.50.

Using the binomial distribution and the expected value, it is found that the expectation for this game is of $0.5.

For each toss, there are only two possible outcomes, either it is heads or it is tails. The outcome of a toss is independent of any other toss, which means that the binomial distribution is used to solve this question.

Binomial probability distribution

[tex]P(X = x) = C_{n,x}.p^{x}.(1-p)^{n-x}[/tex]

[tex]C_{n,x} = \frac{n!}{x!(n-x)!}[/tex]

The parameters are:

  • x is the number of successes.
  • n is the number of trials.
  • p is the probability of a success on a single trial.

In this problem:

  • Fair coin, that is, equally as likely to be heads or tails, hence [tex]p = 0.5[/tex].
  • Two coins are flipped, hence [tex]n = 2[/tex]

The probabilities are:

[tex]P(X = x) = C_{n,x}.p^{x}.(1-p)^{n-x}[/tex]

[tex]P(X = 0) = C_{2,0}.(0.5)^{0}.(0.5)^{2} = 0.25[/tex]

[tex]P(X = 1) = C_{2,1}.(0.5)^{1}.(0.5)^{1} = 0.5[/tex]

[tex]P(X = 2) = C_{2,2}.(0.5)^{2}.(0.5)^{0} = 0.25[/tex]

The expected value is given by the sum of each outcome multiplied by it's probability, hence:

[tex]E(X) = 0.5(-2) + 0.25(6) = 0.5[/tex]

The expectation for this game is of $0.5.

A similar problem is given at https://brainly.com/question/24855677