A magazine provided results from a poll of 500 adults who were asked to identify their favorite pie. Among the 500 ​respondents, 12​% chose chocolate​ pie, and the margin of error was given as plus or minus3 percentage points. Given specific sample​ data, which confidence interval is​ wider: the 95​% confidence interval or the 80​% confidence​ interval? Why is it​ wider?

Respuesta :

Answer:

The 95​% confidence interval has a higher critical value, so it is wider.

Step-by-step explanation:

In a sample with a number n of people surveyed with a probability of a success of [tex]\pi[/tex], and a confidence level of [tex]1-\alpha[/tex], we have the following confidence interval of proportions.

[tex]\pi \pm z\sqrt{\frac{\pi(1-\pi)}{n}}[/tex]

In which

z is the zscore that has a pvalue of [tex]1 - \frac{\alpha}{2}[/tex].

The margin of error of the interval is:

[tex]M = z\sqrt{\frac{\pi(1-\pi)}{n}}[/tex]

95% confidence level

So [tex]\alpha = 0.05[/tex], z is the value of Z that has a pvalue of [tex]1 - \frac{0.05}{2} = 0.975[/tex], so [tex]Z = 1.96[/tex].

80% confidence level

So [tex]\alpha = 0.2[/tex], z is the value of Z that has a pvalue of [tex]1 - \frac{0.2}{2} = 0.9[/tex], so [tex]Z = 1.28[/tex].

The 95​% confidence interval has a higher critical value, so it is wider.