The lifetimes of a certain type of car battery are normally distributed with a mean 5.9 years and standard deviation 0.4 year. The batteries are guaranteed to last at least 5 years. What proportion of batteries fail to meet the guarantee? In other words, what proportion of batteries last less than 5 years?

Respuesta :

Answer:

1.22% of batteries last less than 5 years

Step-by-step explanation:

Problems of normally distributed samples can be solved using the z-score formula.

In a set with mean [tex]\mu[/tex] and standard deviation [tex]\sigma[/tex], the zscore of a measure X is given by:

[tex]Z = \frac{X - \mu}{\sigma}[/tex]

The Z-score measures how many standard deviations the measure is from the mean. After finding the Z-score, we look at the z-score table and find the p-value associated with this z-score. This p-value is the probability that the value of the measure is smaller than X, that is, the percentile of X. Subtracting 1 by the pvalue, we get the probability that the value of the measure is greater than X.

In this problem, we have that:

[tex]\mu = 5.9, \sigma = 0.4[/tex]

What proportion of batteries fail to meet the guarantee? In other words, what proportion of batteries last less than 5 years?

This is the pvalue of Z when X = 5. So

[tex]Z = \frac{X - \mu}{\sigma}[/tex]

[tex]Z = \frac{5 - 5.9}{0.4}[/tex]

[tex]Z = -2.25[/tex]

[tex]Z = -2.25[/tex] has a pvalue of 0.0122

1.22% of batteries last less than 5 years

Answer:

[tex]P(X<5)=P(\frac{X-\mu}{\sigma}<\frac{5-\mu}{\sigma})=P(Z<\frac{5-5.9}{0.4})=P(z<-2.25)[/tex]

And we can find this probability using the normal standard table or excel and we got:

[tex]P(z<-2.25)=0.0122[/tex]

Step-by-step explanation:

Previous concepts

Normal distribution, is a "probability distribution that is symmetric about the mean, showing that data near the mean are more frequent in occurrence than data far from the mean".

The Z-score is "a numerical measurement used in statistics of a value's relationship to the mean (average) of a group of values, measured in terms of standard deviations from the mean".  

Solution to the problem

Let X the random variable that represent the lifetimes of a population, and for this case we know the distribution for X is given by:

[tex]X \sim N(5.9,0.4)[/tex]  

Where [tex]\mu=5.9[/tex] and [tex]\sigma=0.4[/tex]

We are interested on this probability

[tex]P(X<5)[/tex]

And the best way to solve this problem is using the normal standard distribution and the z score given by:

[tex]z=\frac{x-\mu}{\sigma}[/tex]

If we apply this formula to our probability we got this:

[tex]P(X<5)=P(\frac{X-\mu}{\sigma}<\frac{5-\mu}{\sigma})=P(Z<\frac{5-5.9}{0.4})=P(z<-2.25)[/tex]

And we can find this probability using the normal standard table or excel and we got:

[tex]P(z<-2.25)=0.0122[/tex]