Answer:
Average profit = $314,132
Probability of lost = 0.21
Explanation:
a. Question a ask us to develop a what-if spreadsheet model computing profit for this product in the base-case, worst-case, and best-case scenarios.
Best Case Profit = $2,500,000; Worst Case Profit = -$300,000; Base Case Profit = $100,000b.Model the variable cost as a uniform random variable with a minimum of $160 and a max of $240. Model product demand as 1,000 times the value of a gamma random variable with an alpha parameter of 3 and a beta parameter of2. We asked to construct a simulation model to estimate the average profit and the probability that the project will result in a loss. As shown in the Excel output calculation done in the excel, we have the mean profit is about = $314,132, we have the probability that the product will lead to a loss is as 0.21.