7.28.) A sample of 150 is drawn from a population with a proportion equal to 0.40 and a population size of 400. Determine the probability of observing. a.) between 50 and 54 successes. b.) between 55 and 62 successes. c.) between 53 and 70 successes.

Respuesta :

Answer:

a) P(50 < x < 54) = 0.112

b) P(55 < x < 62) = 0.428

c) P(53 < x < 70) = 0.644

Step-by-step explanation:

Sample mean = nP = (sample size) × (population proportion) = 150 × 0.4 = 60

Sample standard deviation = √[nP(1-P)] = √(150×0.4×0.6) = 6

To check if this distribution approximates a normal distribution

np = 60 > 10

np(1-p) = 36 > 10

So, this is a normal distribution problem

a) P(50 < x < 54)

We standardize 50 and 54.

The standardized score for any value is the value minus the mean then divided by the standard deviation.

For 50

z = (x - μ)/σ = (50 - 60)/6 = - 1.67

For 54

z = (x - μ)/σ = (54 - 60)/6 = - 1.00

P(50 < x < 54) = P(-1.67 < z < -1.00) = P(z < -1.00) - P(z < -1.67) = 0.159 - 0.047 = 0.11

b) P(55 < x < 62)

We standardize 55 and 62.

The standardized score for any value is the value minus the mean then divided by the standard deviation.

For 55

z = (x - μ)/σ = (55 - 60)/6 = - 0.83

For 62

z = (x - μ)/σ = (54 - 60)/6 = 0.33

P(55 < x < 62) = P(-0.83 < z < 0.33) = P(z < 0.33) - P(z < -0.83) = 0.630 - 0.202 = 0.428

c) P(53 < x < 70)

P(53 < x < 70)

We standardize 53 and 70.

The standardized score for any value is the value minus the mean then divided by the standard deviation.

For 53

z = (x - μ)/σ = (53 - 60)/6 = - 0.50

For 70

z = (x - μ)/σ = (70 - 60)/6 = 1.67

P(53 < x < 70) = P(-0.50 < z < 1.67) = P(z < 1.67) - P(z < -0.50) = 0.953 - 0.309 = 0.644

Hope this Helps!!!

Using the normal approximation to the binomial, it is found that there is:

a) 0.1387 = 13.87% probability of observing between 50 and 54 successes.

b) 0.484 = 48.4% probability of observing between 55 and 62 successes.

c) 0.8543 = 85.43% probability of observing between 53 and 70 successes.

Binomial probability distribution:

Probability of exactly x successes on n trials, with p probability.

Normal Probability Distribution

In a normal distribution with mean [tex]\mu[/tex] and standard deviation [tex]\sigma[/tex], the z-score of a measure X is given by:

[tex]Z = \frac{X - \mu}{\sigma}[/tex]

  • It measures how many standard deviations the measure is from the mean.  
  • After finding the z-score, we look at the z-score table and find the p-value associated with this z-score, which is the percentile of X.
  • The binomial distribution can be approximated to the normal with mean [tex]\mu = np[/tex] and standard deviation [tex]\sigma = \sqrt{np(1-p)}[/tex].

In this problem:

  • Sample of 150, thus [tex]n = 150[/tex]
  • Proportion of 0.4, thus [tex]p = 0.4[/tex].

For the approximation:

[tex]\mu = np = 150(0.4) = 60[/tex]

[tex]\sigma = \sqrt{np(1-p)} = \sqrt{150(0.4)(0.6)} = 6[/tex]

Item a:

Using continuity correction, this probability is [tex]P(50 - 0.5 \leq X \leq 54 + 0.5) = P(49.5 \leq X \leq 54.5)[/tex], which is the p-value of Z when X = 54.5 subtracted by the p-value of Z when X = 49.5. Thus:

X = 54.5

[tex]Z = \frac{X - \mu}{\sigma}[/tex]

[tex]Z = \frac{54.5 - 60}{6}[/tex]

[tex]Z = -0.92[/tex]

[tex]Z = -0.92[/tex] has a p-value of 0.1788

X = 49.5

[tex]Z = \frac{X - \mu}{\sigma}[/tex]

[tex]Z = \frac{49.5 - 60}{6}[/tex]

[tex]Z = -1.75[/tex]

[tex]Z = -1.75[/tex] has a p-value of 0.0401.

0.1788 - 0.0401 = 0.1387

0.1387 = 13.87% probability of observing between 50 and 54 successes.

Item b:

This probability is [tex]P(55 - 0.5 \leq X \leq 62 + 0.5) = P(54.5 \leq X \leq 62.5)[/tex], which is the p-value of Z when X = 62.5 subtracted by the p-value of Z when X = 54.5. Thus:

X = 62.5

[tex]Z = \frac{X - \mu}{\sigma}[/tex]

[tex]Z = \frac{62.5 - 60}{6}[/tex]

[tex]Z = 0.42[/tex]

[tex]Z = 0.42[/tex] has a p-value of 0.6628.

X = 54.5

[tex]Z = \frac{X - \mu}{\sigma}[/tex]

[tex]Z = \frac{54.5 - 60}{6}[/tex]

[tex]Z = -0.92[/tex]

[tex]Z = -0.92[/tex] has a p-value of 0.1788

0.6628 - 0.1788 = 0.484

0.484 = 48.4% probability of observing between 55 and 62 successes.

Item c:

This probability is [tex]P(53 - 0.5 \leq X \leq 70 + 0.5) = P(52.5 \leq X \leq 70.5)[/tex], which is the p-value of Z when X = 70.5 subtracted by the p-value of Z when X = 52.5. Thus:

X = 70.5

[tex]Z = \frac{X - \mu}{\sigma}[/tex]

[tex]Z = \frac{70.5 - 60}{6}[/tex]

[tex]Z = 1.75[/tex]

[tex]Z = 1.75[/tex] has a p-value of 0.9599.

X = 52.5

[tex]Z = \frac{X - \mu}{\sigma}[/tex]

[tex]Z = \frac{52.5 - 60}{6}[/tex]

[tex]Z = -1.25[/tex]

[tex]Z = -1.25[/tex] has a p-value of 0.1056.

0.9599 - 0.1056 = 0.8543.

0.8543 = 85.43% probability of observing between 53 and 70 successes.

A similar problem is given at https://brainly.com/question/20732994