The mean output of a certain type of amplifier is 321 watts with a variance of 144. If 74 amplifiers are sampled, what is the probability that the mean of the sample would differ from the population mean by less than 2.8 watts? Round your answer to four decimal places.

Respuesta :

Answer:

[tex]P(321-2.8 <\bar X <321+2.8)=P(\frac{318.2-321}{\frac{12}{\sqrt{74}}}<Z<\frac{323.8-321}{\frac{12}{\sqrt{74}}})[/tex]

And using a calculator, excel or the normal standard table we have that:

[tex]P(-2.007<Z<2.007)=P(Z<2.007)-P(Z<--2.007) =0.9776-0.0224= 0.9553[/tex]

Step-by-step explanation:

Previous concepts

Normal distribution, is a "probability distribution that is symmetric about the mean, showing that data near the mean are more frequent in occurrence than data far from the mean".

The Z-score is "a numerical measurement used in statistics of a value's relationship to the mean (average) of a group of values, measured in terms of standard deviations from the mean".  

Solution to the problem

Let X the random variable that represent the output of a population, and for this case we know the distribution for X is given by:

[tex]X \sim N(321,12)[/tex]  

Where [tex]\mu=321[/tex] and [tex]\sigma=12[/tex]

The central limit theorem states that "if we have a population with mean μ and standard deviation σ and take sufficiently large random samples from the population with replacement, then the distribution of the sample means will be approximately normally distributed. This will hold true regardless of whether the source population is normal or skewed, provided the sample size is sufficiently large".

From the central limit theorem we know that the distribution for the sample mean [tex]\bar X[/tex] is given by:

[tex]\bar X \sim N(\mu, \frac{\sigma}{\sqrt{n}})[/tex]

We can find the individual probabilities like this:

[tex]P(321-2.8 <\bar X <321+2.8)=P(\frac{318.2-321}{\frac{12}{\sqrt{74}}}<Z<\frac{323.8-321}{\frac{12}{\sqrt{74}}})[/tex]

And using a calculator, excel or the normal standard table we have that:

[tex]P(-2.007<Z<2.007)=P(Z<2.007)-P(Z<--2.007) =0.9776-0.0224= 0.9553[/tex]