3 In a certain college, 55% of the students are women. Suppose we take a sample of two students. Use a probability tree to find the probability (a) that both chosen students are women. (b) that at least one of the two students is a woman.

Respuesta :

Answer:

a) [tex] P(F\cap F) = P(F)*P(F) = 0.55*0.55= 0.3025[/tex]

b) For this case we want the probability that  at least one of the two students is a woman.

At least mean that can be 1 one women or 2. Let X the number of women selected:

[tex] PX\geq 1) = P(X=1) +P(X=2)[/tex]

[tex] P(X=1)= 0.55*0.45 +0.45*0.55= 0.495[/tex]

[tex] P(X=2) =0.55*0.55= 0.3025[/tex]

So then the final probability would be:

[tex] PX\geq 1) = 0.495 +0.3025 = 0.7975[/tex]

Step-by-step explanation:

For this case we have the situation described in the figure attached.

We define the following notation:

F= Select a random student women

M= Select a random student male

We have defined the prior probabilities:

[tex] P(F)= 0.55, P(M) =1-0.55= 0.45[/tex]

We can define the sample space like this:

[tex] S = [MM, MF, FM, FF][/tex]

For this case we assume that the selection on each trial are independnet events.

Part a

We want to find this probability [tex] P(FF)[/tex], using the indpendence condition we can do this:

[tex] P(F\cap F) = P(F)*P(F) = 0.55*0.55= 0.3025[/tex]

Part b

For this case we want the probability that  at least one of the two students is a woman.

At least mean that can be 1 one women or 2. Let X the number of women selected:

[tex] PX\geq 1) = P(X=1) +P(X=2)[/tex]

[tex] P(X=1)= 0.55*0.45 +0.45*0.55= 0.495[/tex]

[tex] P(X=2) =0.55*0.55= 0.3025[/tex]

So then the final probability would be:

[tex] PX\geq 1) = 0.495 +0.3025 = 0.7975[/tex]

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