At a specified point on a highway, vehicles are known to arrive according to a Poisson process. Vehicles are counted in 20-second intervals, and vehicle counts are taken in 120 of these time intervals. It is noted that no cars arrive in 18 of these 120 intervals. Approximate the number of these 120 intervals in which exactly three cars arrive.

Respuesta :

The number of these 120 intervals in which exactly three cars arrive is; 21 intervals

Poisson Process Calculations

We are told that that no cars arrive in 18 of these 120 intervals. Thus; P(n) = 18/120

P(n) = 0.15

Using the Poisson process, we have the formula;

P(n) = [tex]\frac{(\lambda t)^{n} * e^{-\lambda t}}{n!}[/tex]

We already have that; P(n = 0) = 0.15

Thus; using t = 20 seconds, we have;

0.15 = [tex]\frac{(\lambda * 20)^{0} * e^{-20\lambda}}{0!}[/tex]

⇒ 0.15 = [tex]e^{-20\lambda}}[/tex]

⇒ In 0.15 = -20λ

⇒ -1.897 = -20λ

λ = -1.897/-20

λ = 0.09485

Thus, for exactly 3 cars;

P(n = 3) = [tex]\frac{(0.09485 * 20)^{3} * e^{-20 * 0.09485}}{3!}[/tex]

P(n = 3) = 0.1707

Thus;

Number of intervals in which exactly three cars arrive is;

120 * 0.1707 ≈ 21 intervals

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