The life of a light bulb is exponentially distributed with a mean of 1,000 hours. What is the probability that the bulb will last more than 1,200 hours?

Respuesta :

Answer:

The probability that the bulb will last more than 1,200 hours  is 0.3012

Step-by-step explanation:

Let the random variable X = life of a light bulb .

The random variable [tex]X\sim Exp(\lambda)[/tex]

The probability distribution function of exponential distribution is:

[tex]f(x)=\left \{ {{\lambda e^{-\lambda x};\ x>0} \atop {0};\ otherwise} \right.[/tex]

The mean of the distribution is, Mean = 1000 hours.

The value of λ is:

[tex]\lambda=\frac{1}{Mean} =\frac{1}{1000}[/tex]

Compute the probability that the bulb will last more than 1,200 hours as follows:

[tex]P(X>1200)=1-P(X\leq 1200)\\=1-\int\limits^{1200}_{0} {\lambda e^{-\lambda x}} \, dx \\=1-\lambda[\frac{e^{-\lambda x}}{-\lambda} ]^{1200}_{0}\\=1-[1-e^{-\frac{x}{1000} }]^{1200}_{0}\\=1-[1-e^{-\frac{1200}{1000}}]\\=e^{-1.2}\\=0.3012[/tex]

Thus, the probability that the bulb will last more than 1,200 hours  is 0.3012.