Abby, Billy and Cathy fire one shot each at a target. The probability that Abby will hit the target is 1/5. The probability that Billy will hit the target is 1/4. The probability that Cathy will hit the target is 1/3.

If they fire together, calculate the probability that:

1. All three shots hit the target

2. Only Cathy's shot hits the target

3. At least one shot hits the target

Respuesta :

Answer:

1.  0.0167

2. 0.2

3. 0.6

Step-by-step explanation:

Probabilities on Independent Events

If A and B are independent events (the occurrence of A doesn't affect the occurrence of B and vice-versa), then the probability that both events occur is

[tex]\displaystyle P(A\bigcap B)= \ P(A).P(B)[/tex]

Being P(A) and P(B) the individual probability of each independent event

The probability that A does not occur is  

[tex]\displaystyle P(\bar{A})=1-P(A)[/tex]

The probability that B does not occur is

[tex]\displaystyle P(\bar{B})=1-P(B)[/tex]

The probability that C does not occur is

[tex]\displaystyle P(\bar{C})=1-P(C)[/tex]

We have 3 independent events. We know that because they fire together, no mutual affectation can happen

.

The probability that Abby will hit the target is 1/5.  

[tex]\displaystyle P(A)=\frac{1}{5}[/tex]

The probability that Billy will hit the target is 1/4.

[tex]\displaystyle P(B)=\frac{1}{4}[/tex]

The probability that Cathy will hit the target is 1/3

[tex]\displaystyle P(C)=\frac{1}{3}[/tex]

Part 1.

The probability that all three shots hit the target is

[tex]\displaystyle P(A\bigcap B\bigcap C)=\frac{1}{5}.\frac{1}{4}.\frac{1}{3}[/tex]

[tex]\displaystyle P(A\bigcap B\bigcap C)=\frac{1}{60}[/tex]

The probability that all three shots hit the target is

[tex]\displaystyle P= \frac{1}{60}=0.0167[/tex]

Part 2.

The probability that only Cathy's shot hits the target is computed assuming Abby and Billy won't succeed

.

[tex]\displaystyle P(\bar{A}\bigcap \bar{B}\bigcap C)=P(\bar{A})\  P(\bar{B})\ P(C)=(1-\frac{1}{5})\ (1-\frac{1}{4})\ (\frac{1}{3})=\frac{4}{5}.\frac{3}{4}.\frac{1}{3}=\frac{1}{5}=0.2[/tex]

3.

The probability that at least one shot hits the target is when one of them succeeds, two of them succed or all of them succeed

[tex]\displaystyle P(A\bigcap \bar{B}\bigcap \bar{C})+P(\bar{A}\bigcap {B}\bigcap \bar{C})+P(\bar{A}\bigcap\bar{B}\bigcap C)+P(A\bigcap B\bigcap \bar{C})+P(A\bigcap \bar{B}\bigcap C)+P(\bar{A}\bigcap B\bigcap C)+P(A\bigcap B\bigcap C)[/tex]

But it's easier to find the negated probability of the above, i.e. we compute the probability that NO ONE hits the target and subtract it from 1

[tex]\displaystyle P=1-P(\bar{A}\bigcap \bar{B}\bigcap \bar{C})[/tex]

[tex]P=1 -(1-\frac{1}{5})(1-\frac{1}{4})(1-\frac{1}{3})=1-\frac{4}{5}.\frac{3}{4}.\frac{2}{3}=1-\frac{2}{5}=\frac{3}{5}[/tex]

P=0.6