Merry and bright? A string of Christmas lights con-
tains 20 lights. The lights are wired in series, so that
if any light fails, the whole string will go dark. Each
light has probability 0.98 of working for a 3-year
period. The lights fail independently of each other.
Find the probability that the string of lights will
remain bright for 3 years.​

Respuesta :

Answer:

0.6676

Step-by-step explanation:

given that A string of Christmas lights con-

tains 20 lights. The lights are wired in series, so that

if any light fails, the whole string will go dark. Each

light has probability 0.98 of working for a 3-year

period.

Each light is independent of the other.

The probability that the string of lights will

remain bright for 3 years.​

= Probability that each light does not fail

= multiplication (prob of one light does not fail)

=[tex]0.98^{20} \\=0.6676[/tex]

Using the binomial distribution, it is found that there is a 0.6676 = 66.76% probability that the string of lights will remain bright for 3 years.​

For each light, there are only two possible outcomes, either it works or it does not work. The probability of a light working is independent of any other light, hence the binomial distribution is used to solve this question.

What is the binomial distribution formula?

The formula is:

[tex]P(X = x) = C_{n,x}.p^{x}.(1-p)^{n-x}[/tex]

[tex]C_{n,x} = \frac{n!}{x!(n-x)!}[/tex]

The parameters are:

  • x is the number of successes.
  • n is the number of trials.
  • p is the probability of a success on a single trial.

In this problem:

  • There are 20 lights, hence n = 20.
  • Each light has probability 0.98 of working for a 3-year period, hence p = 0.98.

The probability that all work is P(X = 20), hence:

[tex]P(X = x) = C_{n,x}.p^{x}.(1-p)^{n-x}[/tex]

[tex]P(X = 20) = C_{20,20}.(0.98)^{20}.(0.02)^{0} = 0.6676[/tex]

0.6676 = 66.76% probability that the string of lights will remain bright for 3 years.​

More can be learned about the binomial distribution at https://brainly.com/question/14424710