In 2003, there were many media reports about the number of shark
attacks in Florida. At the end of the year, there were a total of 30
unprovoked shark attacks. By comparison, there were 246 shark attacks
over the prior ten years. Using the pre-2003 data, simulate the number of shark attacks for 2003. Based on your simulation, what is the probability that there would be 30 or more shark attacks in that year?