Which of these contexts describes a situation that is likely?

Rolling a number greater than 6 on a standard six-sided die, numbered from 1 to 6.
Spinning a spinner divided into four equal-sized sections colored red/green/yellow/blue and landing on red.
Winning a raffle that sold a total of 100 tickets if you bought 99 tickets.
Reaching into a bag full of 17 strawberry chews and 3 cherry chews without looking and pulling out a cherry chew.